Russia is not in imminent danger of losing Crimea, but the momentum around the peninsula seems to be on Ukraine’s side.
Europe
Europe is being transformed by an aging population and the influx of migrants. War and reactionary politics harken back to its bloody past. Situated between two dueling superpowers, China and America, many in Europe feel squeezed and seek strategic autonomy. But Russia is on its borders.
The real power of authoritarian populists like Trump and Orbán lies in the novel electoral support coalition they create.
The presence of British forces in Ukraine doesn’t make the UK a combatant in the war, but there remains the risk of escalation.
Tory politicians are resorting to conspiracy theories to paint themselves as outsiders and deflect attention from their record in power.
NATO has neither the stockpiles nor the manufacturing capacity to supply a lengthy modern war with Russia or any other major state adversary.
As the Russia-Ukraine war enters its third year, the conflict’s outcome could be decided by three factors: supplies, information, and political will.
Ukraine needs a strategic ceasefire and talks — a combination akin to historical precedents for establishing sovereignty amidst conflict.
France’s defunding of an acclaimed private Muslim high school to protect “French Republican values” could actually have the opposite effect.
Corruption is central to Ukraine’s existential crisis. It could cause the country financial and moral support from Western allies.
Lithium-abundant Ukraine may be key to South Korea’s ambitions to become a global battery production powerhouse.