NATO has neither the stockpiles nor the manufacturing capacity to supply a lengthy modern war with Russia or any other major state adversary.
Europe is being transformed by an aging population and the influx of migrants. War and reactionary politics harken back to its bloody past. Situated between two dueling superpowers, China and America, many in Europe feel squeezed and seek strategic autonomy. But Russia is on its borders.
As the Russia-Ukraine war enters its third year, the conflict’s outcome could be decided by three factors: supplies, information, and political will.
Ukraine needs a strategic ceasefire and talks — a combination akin to historical precedents for establishing sovereignty amidst conflict.
France’s defunding of an acclaimed private Muslim high school to protect “French Republican values” could actually have the opposite effect.
Corruption is central to Ukraine’s existential crisis. It could cause the country financial and moral support from Western allies.
Lithium-abundant Ukraine may be key to South Korea’s ambitions to become a global battery production powerhouse.
Ukrainians do not think the war with Russia will end any time soon, with 43 percent saying that war will go on for an additional 12 months.
A Western-imposed peace in Ukraine could encourage Russian elites to pursue a similar revanchist policy in Estonia and Latvia.
To stimulate its lagging economy, Germany needs to diversify, innovate, and invest heavily in infrastructure and R&D.
Ukraine’s ammunition and manpower shortages and its weak air defenses will impede its ability to thwart a Russian spring offensive.