With Prigozhin’s death, Putin’s message is clear: opposition will not be tolerated and will probably have fatal consequences.
Russia
Russia is a former superpower that retains muscle memory from its better days. Both in its near periphery and beyond, it’s capable of doing damage. But as the Ukraine war goes on, the impact of its extraterritorial adventures could take a toll at home.
The Kyiv School of Economics estimates Western companies still operating in Russia made over $213.9 billion in revenues in 2022.
Russian accomplishments in Africa are far from impressive. Less than half of African heads of state took part in the Russia-Africa summit.
The Russia-Africa summit highlights the increasing importance of Africa to Russian foreign policy and President Vladimir Putin’s image.
The Kremlin isn’t about to lose its grip on Crimea. But Ukrainian claims that it will eventually retake it are now a bit more believable.
Lukashenko’s interventions in the Prigozhin mutiny episode show that he does not necessarily operate in lockstep with Moscow.
Western sanctions continue to take a toll on Russian oil revenues. But Moscow is stepping up its evasion efforts.
With his invasion of Ukraine, President Vladimir Putin has strengthened Ukrainian nationalism and weakened Russia.
Vladimir Putin is a tough and resilient politician, but the aborted mutiny has exposed profound structural flaws in the Russian system of rule.
Wagner Group leader Yevgeny Prigozhin is leading his troops back across the border into Russia in open rebellion, making his way toward Moscow.
