Russia is a former superpower that retains muscle memory from its better days. Both in its near periphery and beyond, it’s capable of doing damage. But as the Ukraine war goes on, the impact of its extraterritorial adventures could take a toll at home.

A non-official unit aligned with Ukraine’s armed forces and a group of anti-Putin Russian fighters have engaged in an attack on Russian soil.

Russia’s shift toward Asia may be gradual, focusing on China, India, and ASEAN countries, but the direction has been set.