U.S.–China tensions will likely persist, if not worsen, in 2024 as the two sides double down on strategic competition and point-scoring.
As China’s economy slows, Xi Jinping and the CCP increasingly rely on nationalism to secure their legitimacy.
If Taiwan’s pro-independence DPP stays in power, Chinese leader Xi Jinping may feel he has no choice but to force the issue of reunification.
China is increasingly preparing for a possible conflict with the United States over Taiwan, though it likely seeks to avoid a full-blown war.
China’s central government will be forced to wean the country’s economy off its dependence on the real estate sector.
China seeks to control the South China Sea by using its power to bend specific rules within existing frameworks to align with its interests.
China’s Belt and Road Initiative continues to expand its global influence, particularly in developing autocracies, leveraging infrastructure and tech investments.
Taiwan’s elections center on managing cross-strait relations with China, amid concerns of Beijing’s influence.
Xi Jinping’s “Made in China 2025” program miscalculated. By driving away foreign firms, it has hurt innovation and growth.
The China-Pakistan joint naval exercises in the Arabian Sea reflect a more competitive strategic landscape in the north Indian Ocean region.