Ukraine’s maritime gains in the Black Sea counterbalance the land stalemate, disrupting Russia’s strategy and enhancing Ukraine’s long-term resilience.
Ukraine Counter-Offensive
Western strategy on Ukraine indicates a shift towards sustaining defense in a long-term stalemate with Russia.
With the Russia-Ukraine war now at a stalemate, Kyiv and its Western allies need a clearer vision of an endgame.
The outcome of the winter operations in Ukraine will ultimately depend on two factors: will and ammunition.
Ukraine is under serious pressure to conscript enough troops as its counter-offensive struggles for momentum.
There have been no game-changers in the Russia-Ukraine war. Single weapons systems may win battles, but they do not win wars.
Longer-range missiles would enable Ukraine to strike targets throughout the entirety of Russian-occupied territory, including Crimea.
Control of the Bokya towers greatly enhances Ukraine’s ability to operate in the Black Sea and reduces Russian capabilities.
A substantial Ukrainian breakthrough on the east of the Dnipro River would give Ukrainian troops a much easier and clearer path to Crimea.
Drones have bolstered Ukraine’s military and psychological defenses and are likely to damage Russia’s as Ukraine continues its liberation.
