Xi Jinping is unlikely to disown Putin, but he will balance his support for him with the need to stabilize relations with the U.S. and Europe.
With Prigozhin’s death, Putin’s message is clear: opposition will not be tolerated and will probably have fatal consequences.
The Russia-Africa summit highlights the increasing importance of Africa to Russian foreign policy and President Vladimir Putin’s image.
With his invasion of Ukraine, President Vladimir Putin has strengthened Ukrainian nationalism and weakened Russia.
Vladimir Putin is a tough and resilient politician, but the aborted mutiny has exposed profound structural flaws in the Russian system of rule.
Wagner Group leader Yevgeny Prigozhin is leading his troops back across the border into Russia in open rebellion, making his way toward Moscow.
Putin’s approval rating has risen since the invasion of Ukraine. Russians once again are rallying behind their leader in a war state propaganda portrays as defensive.
If Russia falls into internal crisis, Yevgeny Prigozhin will become a kingmaker, even if not a king himself.
The infighting between Wagner and Russia’s military has become a soap opera played out in front of a global audience.
Unless the attack was simply motivated by the kudos of demonstrating an ability to strike at the heart of Russian power, it makes no military sense on Kyiv’s part.