Andrey Rublev returns to Centre Court this Sunday in Toronto to face Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in a Round of 16 showdown at the 2025 Canadian Open.
Rublev breezed through the second round with a 6-2, 6-3 win over Hugo Gaston, but arrives today via a three-set comeback in the third round over Lorenzo Sonego.
Meanwhile, Davidovich Fokina has had a less dramatic tournament, coming into this afternoon’s match having yet to drop a set, including in his third-round match against the 12th seed Jakub Mensik.
Davidovich Fokina is surging in the ATP rankings. He’s now ranked 19, after his finals appearance last month in Washington. The Spaniard fell to Alex de Minaur in the final, but took down Taylor Fritz and Ben Shelton along the way — making him a player to watch in the remainder of this summer hard-court season.
He’s claimed no titles so far in 2025, but the year isn’t over, and the momentum is on his side.
Rublev-Davidovich Fokina Head-to-Head
Rublev has dominated the head-to-head, entering this afternoon’s match with a 5-1 lead over Davidovich Fokina. That includes two victories on hard courts.
Davidovich won their most recent match, in Barcelona on clay earlier this year, 7-5, 6-4.
Despite Rublev’s 5-1 edge, their battles have been tight, with four of his five wins decided in straight sets featuring tiebreaks or close second sets.
What to Watch
Rublev brings deep returns and consistent power; his telling stat: he won nearly 88% of first-serve points in his comeback win over Sonego.
Meanwhile, Davidovich Fokina’s unpredictability and drop‑shot wizardry bring flair. But he’ll need to up his aggression early, especially on serve. If he continues to serve well and avoids long rallies, he has the capacity to disrupt Rublev’s rhythm.
Prediction
Davidovich Fokina in three sets. Rublev has won four out of their past five meetings, but most have been close matches. Davidovich Fokina is surging, and his momentum should carry him to victory over Rublev today.
How to Watch Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
This afternoon’s Round of 16 match between Andrey Rublev and Davidovich Fokina is expected to start at around 3:25 PM Eastern on Centre Court at Sobeys Stadium in Toronto, after Alex de Minaur’s defeat of Frances Tiafoe in three tight sets.
The match may air live on the Tennis Channel or its streaming-only T2 Channel, available for free on Amazon Prime Video here.
The Tennis Channel has a live stream simulcast of its TV coverage, along with a dedicated feed for the Osaka-Sevastova match here.
If none of the above works for you, the Tennis Channel has a standalone streaming subscription available for $9.99/month or $109.99/year.
Rublev vs. Davidovich Fokina
Date: Sunday, August 3, 2025
Estimated Start Time: 3:25 PM Eastern (after Tiafoe–de Minaur centre‑court match)
Venue: Sobeys Stadium, Toronto
Court: Centre Court
TV: Tennis Channel (Centre Court broadcast)
Streaming: Tennis Channel app and website
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