If deterrence between Israel and Hezbollah fails to hold, the Lebanon-Israel border could explode, risking a broader U.S.-Iran war.
Islamism
The Somali National Army, despite having more troops and better resources, is weaker than al-Shabaab due to cohesion and morale challenges.
After Raisi, conservatives in Tehran will likely intensify state repression and electoral manipulation, and carefully dial up regional confrontation.
As attacks across the Israel-Lebanon frontier escalate, speculation grows over whether another full-scale war between Israel and Hezbollah looms.
ISIS-K’s ability to strike across Eurasia could push the international community to cooperate more with its chief rival, the Afghan Taliban.
Turnout is likely to be low in Iran’s elections on Friday, but the vote will be consequential as the new Assembly of Experts will probably choose the next supreme leader
Iran’s will to win the Middle East wars stems from a strategic culture of “us against the world,” forged in the cauldron that followed the 1979 revolution.
With general elections just weeks away, Egyptian Pres. Abdel Fattah El-Sisi faces a collapsing economy and a public angered by the Gaza massacre.
Professor Jeroen Gunning joins host Arif Rafiq to discuss Hamas’s ideology, internal struggles, and use of violence against Israel.