AI will redefine power dynamics, economic competition, and security strategies, challenging traditional geopolitical structures and alliances.
U.S.-China Relations
The hurdles to the growth of Chinese power extend far beyond the economic sector. “The Chinese century” is not a foregone conclusion.
Expect a tougher, but more erratic approach toward China in a second Trump administration. That could cause concern among U.S. allies.
Ali Wyne joins host Arif Rafiq to discuss the risks of a U.S.-China war over Taiwan and the broader challenge of managing a rising China.
In 2023, the U.S. advanced relations with key allies and partners in Asia while finding firmer footing in its relations with China.
U.S.–China tensions will likely persist, if not worsen, in 2024 as the two sides double down on strategic competition and point-scoring.
China is increasingly preparing for a possible conflict with the United States over Taiwan, though it likely seeks to avoid a full-blown war.
The Biden-Xi meeting resulted in minor agreements. It failed to reset the U.S.-China rivalry — because the two countries can’t be reconciled.
If the U.S. intends to halt China’s push for the autarkic mastery of critical technologies, the October 2022 export ban won’t be enough.
A Vivek Ramaswamy foreign policy would undermine fundamental U.S. alliances and reward non-allies like India and Russia.